Country A has a 40% tariff on all imports of a good. The good costs $20 to make in A, $16 in Country B and $13 in Country C. A then forms a customs union with B and keeps the 40% tariff on C. What is the result?
- Before: C costs 13 × 1.4 = $18.20 and B costs 16 × 1.4 = $22.40, against $20 at home, so A imports from C.
- After: B costs $16 with no tariff and C still costs $18.20, so A now imports from B.
- Supply has moved from the lowest-cost producer (C, $13) to a higher-cost member (B, $16).
Answer: Trade diversion: imports switch from C to B, and each unit now uses $3 more of real resources.