Probability

Digital SAT · Math · Problem-Solving and Data Analysis. The idea in plain words, the rules to remember, the mistake to avoid and a worked example, written and checked by Mega Lecture.

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The idea

A probability is a fraction: the number of outcomes you want over the number of outcomes that are possible. It is always between 0 and 1.

Many SAT questions use a two-way table. The hard part is choosing the right total for the bottom of the fraction. If the question says given that, or picks from one group only ("a student in Grade 10 is selected"), the total is that group's row or column, not the whole table. This is a conditional probability.

For two events in a row, multiply the probabilities. If the first item is not put back, both the number you want and the total go down before the second pick.

Rules to remember

Common mistake

Dividing by the grand total when the question limits the choice to one row or column. Read who is being selected from, and use that group's total as the denominator.

Worked example

A table shows 120 students. In Grade 9, 30 play a sport and 20 do not. In Grade 10, 42 play a sport and 28 do not. A student who plays a sport is selected at random. What is the probability that the student is in Grade 10?

  1. The student is chosen from those who play a sport: 30 + 42 = 72 students.
  2. Of these, 42 are in Grade 10.
  3. Probability = 42 ÷ 72 = 7/12.

Answer: 7/12 (not 42/120, because the choice is only from the 72 students who play a sport)

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